More Power
This is an excerpt from the April 5, 2024 Astrology Letter….
As more data centers embrace Artificial Intelligence, the additional computing power will require more electrical energy. Who generates this electricity? Is there an investment opportunity for us?
This week I had an inquiry from a subscriber asking if I could look at a few power generation utility stocks. Thank you for this….I wish I could get more inquiries like this….
The first thing that must be understood is that utility companies are regulated by state/provincial/local authorities as to how much they can charge consumers for electricity. As interest rates have risen thanks to Central Banks fighting inflation, investors have looked away from the dividends on utility stocks and embraced the rising yields on Treasury bonds. Utility stocks do not usually perform well when interest rates are rising.
However, Central Banks are now done raising rates. Rates may not come down quickly from here, but rates will not go up. We could start seeing utility stocks make a bottoming pattern soon. In some cases, certain utility-type stocks have just recently made a bottom.
In this issue I will take a look at TC Energy (Toronto: TRP), Duke Energy (N:DUK), and American Electric Power (Q:AEP).
TC Energy ( TSX: TRP): TC Energy owns or has an interest in 7 natural gas power plants, 2 wind projects, and a 48% interest in the Bruce Power nuclear plant in Ontario. In total, TC Energy has 7000 MW of electrical generating capacity. In addition, when it comes to natural gas pipeline distribution systems, TC Energy is the biggest player in Canada and also in parts of the USA.
Trans Canada Energy seems to function on long cycles of 401 weeks (blue arcs) and 597 weeks (red arcs).
Within these longer cycles, I am seeing smaller 79 week cycles (yellow arcs), and 22 week cycles (pink arcs – see chart on next page).
The 79 week cycle will end in November. The 22 week cycle will end in May.
This chart has been fitted with the Slow Stochastic trend indicator. Times when the Stochastic gave a buy or sell signal can be seen aligning to the action of the Moon relative to key points in the 1952 natal horoscope.
Here and now, the trend is drifting sideways to lower. IF price takes out the dashed purple resistance line shown at the top right of the chart, price will advance to possibly the $63 level (a Fibonacci 61.8% retrace of the 2022-2023 decline).
In the meantime, watch the Stochastic for a more attractive buy signal and for that buy signal to align to Moon passing a key point on the 1952 natal horoscope.
Note also – in the coming May-June timeframe, Jupiter will pass by the natal Moon. This should be a positive development. In the July timeframe, Mars will pass the natal Moon point. This should also be a favorable development.
The stock pays an annual dividend of $3.84 per share. At current prices, this is a 7.2% yield. The 2023 financial statements show that this dividend is sustainable and supported by earnings and cash flows.
Full disclosure to subscribers – I am getting ready to personally buy TC Energy on any further weakness in price…..